Matt Goodwin analyses the staggering polling data Labour NEEDS to pay attention to...
Matt Goodwin gives his analysis of the latest data
GB News People's Polling data has revealed how Labour's surge in the election polling may not be all that it seems
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Data strategist Matt Goodwin has delivered his analysis of the key findings from our poll as the Labour leader this week set out a roadmap to how he plans to turnaround Britain if he’s voted into Number 10.
He vowed to stick to tough spending rules, cut NHS waiting lists, launch a border security command, set up a publicly owned energy company, provide more neighbourhood police officers, and to recruit more teachers.
But in a blow to Mr Starmer, a People Polling poll for GBNews has revealed voters are far from convinced he can deliver on his roadmap.
Goodwin looks at each finding below and delivers his verdict:
Labour 47%, Conservative 20%, Reform 14%, Lib Dems 9%, Green 8%.
Goodwin said: “Labour has a commanding lead of 27-points, more than enough for a majority government, though note Labour’s lead at the recent local elections was much lower.
"Reform remain a major problem for Rishi Sunak, on 14%, and are still poaching one in four of the Conservative Party’s 2019 voters.
"Rishi Sunak and the Conservatives, meanwhile, continue to languish on just 20%, well behind Keir Starmer and Labour.
"There is no evidence at all that Rishi Sunak’s latest rebrand is cutting through with voters "
Matt Goodwin discusses GB News People's Polling
Is Labour ready for government?
When asked about Keir Starmer and the Labour Party, only 29 per cent of the public believe Starmer and Labour are ready for government, while 33 per cent think they are NOT ready for government, and a further 38 per cent are unsure.
Goodwin said: “While much of the SW1 debate focuses on Labour’s improvements since the Corbyn-era, we should remember that still only a small minority of British voters, just 29 per cent, think Starmer and Labour are ready for government, while a larger number of voters think they are not ready.
"This is a reminder that there is little mass public enthusiasm for the opposition Labour party, despite their considerable lead in the national polls”.
When asked about Labour’s six pledges
Starmer announced as his six pledges he would be sticking to tough spending rules, cutting NHS waiting lists, launching a border security command to stop the small boats, setting up a publicly owned energy company, providing more neighbourhood police officers, and recruiting more teachers.
Only 5 per cent of the public have a great deal of trust in Labour to deliver on their six pledges and only 27 per cent have either a great deal of trust or a fair amount of trust.
This is compared to 49 per cent of respondents either saying they didn’t have much trust or have no trust at all in Labour’s ability to deliver.
Goodwin's verdict: “While Labour’s six pledges have attracted considerable attention in and around SW1, our results show that the public remain deeply unconvinced.
"The fact that only one in twenty voters have a great deal of trust in Labour to deliver on these pledges, while only a little more than one in four voters have any trust at all in Labour to deliver on these pledges, should worry Labour HQ”.
47% support new guidance on sex education for under 9s
Nearly half of the British public, 47%, support (either strongly or tending to support) the newly announced guidance that children under the age of 9 should not be taught sex education, compared to 25% who oppose the guidance.
Goodwin said: “The fact that a much larger number of voters support the new guidance while only one in four oppose it should serve as a reminder to all those teaching unions, teachers, and others who have complained about the guidance.
"As far as a plurality of ordinary British people are concerned, children under the age of 9 years of age should not be taught sex education in school”
Support of taking in Palestine refugees
Only 12% of Britons strongly support the idea of the country introducing a new scheme to take in refugees from Palestine, and only 29% strongly or tend to support this idea.
A larger number, 42%, oppose the idea of such a scheme, whether strongly or tending to oppose, which rises to 66% among 2019 Conservatives.
A further 29% of all voters said they were unsure.
Goodwin said: “While several prominent Labour MPs have been calling for a scheme to help resettle Palestinians in the UK, it’s clear this only has minority support out there in the country.
"A clear plurality of British voters are opposed to the idea, including a very large majority of Conservative voters. Our leaders in Westminster would do well to listen to such public opinion”
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