Reform UK poised to deal Sunak major election blow as they could steal 35 seats from Tories

Richard Tice and Rishi Sunak

Reform UK poised to deal Sunak major election blow as they could steal 35 seats from Tories

George Bunn

By George Bunn

Published: 09/12/2023

- 12:29

Updated: 09/12/2023

- 14:18

The party has seen its share of the vote more than double

Richard Tice has said he "110 per cent " ready to field a Reform UK candidate in every seat for a general election as his party threatens to steal a number of seats from the Tories.

Analysis has revealed support for Reform UK could cost the Tories up to 35 seats at the next election and hand Labour a majority.

Tice's party is polling at around 10 to 11 per cent nationally, compared with a typical score of five per cent a year ago.

Now, Richard has welcomed the polling, saying that his party is ready for a general election.

WATCH NOW: GB News senior political commentator Nigel Nelson speaks to Darren Grimes about Reform UK

Tice said: "We've just got to keep raising awareness. The more people that hear about us the better. That's the biggest thing we've got to do.

"It's still the case that we'll have a candidate in every seat. I'm 110 per cent on that. We are well on track and ready for an April election."

Speaking about Nigel Farage's reaction after he comes out of the jungle, he said: "I think he'll be thrilled about Reform's polling.

"But he'll be shocked and appalled at what's happened with Rwanda and the appointment of Cameron as foreign secretary."


Richard Tice

Richard Tice has led Reform since 2021


During a focus group held by pollsters More in Common last month in Walsall voters praised Nigel Farage for "speaking sense" and "saying what we all think" on immigration.

More in Common analysis based on voting intentions shows that the Conservatives are on course to secure 35 fewer seats than if Reform did not exist.

If it did not exist, the Tories would win 265 constituencies across England and Wales, almost certainly depriving Labour of a majority and creating a hung parliament.

However, the picture changes drastically if Reform wins nine per cent of the vote, as projected by More in Common’s most recent polling.

Rishi Sunak

Rishi Sunak has been criticised from the right of his party


Director of More in Common Luke Tryl said: "There’s a feeling that the Conservative Party have talked a good game but haven’t done anything about it, and that frustration is what you’re now seeing driving some Tory 2019 voters into the arms of Reform."

Pollsters said that if Farage were to campaign for Reform then "all bets are off" and the party could replicate the 14 per cent vote share achieved by the UK Independence Party (Ukip) in 2015.

More in Common’s analysis shows that, were that to happen, the Conservatives would be reduced to just 200 seats, with Labour winning a huge majority.

Pollsters are estimating that they can get a much higher figure than the two per cent the Brexit Party received in 2019.

You may like