Local elections: Tories and Labour tipped for ‘worst results in history’ as Jacob Rees-Mogg wades into Reform’s chances

Jacob Rees-Mogg gives damning verdict for Tories-Labour
GB NEWS
Ben Chapman

By Ben Chapman


Published: 02/05/2025

- 00:52

The ex-Tory minister said the smaller parties will make major gains

Jacob Rees-Mogg has predicted that today's local elections could see "potentially the worst national share of the result for the two main parties in political history".

Speaking on GB News, the former Conservative minister suggested voters are delivering "a plague on all your houses" to both Labour and the Conservatives.


He forecast that the results could be "potentially worse than the last general election, which was very low".

This opens the door to significant gains for minor parties as millions of voters across England head to the polls.

Jacob Rees-Mogg with insets of Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch

Jacob Rees-Mogg thinks the two main parties will struggle in tonight's local elections

PA / GB NEWS

Around a third of voters in England are casting their ballots today, with more than 1,600 councillors to be elected across 23 English local authorities.

Six areas are also voting for directly-elected mayors: the West of England, Cambridgeshire and Peterborough, North Tyneside, Doncaster, and for the first time, Greater Lincolnshire and Hull and East Yorkshire.

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Jacob Rees-Mogg

Jacob Rees-Mogg said voters are delivering a 'plague on your houses' of the two main parties

GB NEWS

A Westminster by-election is taking place in Runcorn and Helsby, triggered when Mike Amesbury resigned after receiving a suspended prison sentence for punching a constituent.

More than a thousand parish councils and the Isles of Scilly are also holding elections.

Jacob highlighted specific areas where minor parties could make breakthroughs in today's vote.

"The Greens might win the West of England combined authority, which I think should be abolished anyway," he said on GB News.

Votes are counted at DCBL Halton Stadium, Widnes, Cheshire, for the Runcorn & Helsby by-electionPICTURED: Votes are counted at DCBL Halton Stadium, Widnes, Cheshire, for the Runcorn & Helsby by-electionPA

He also predicted potential Reform victories, stating: "Reform could win in Lincolnshire and the by-election could go to Reform."

The former minister described it as "a very interesting night and a change politically" as voters appear ready to look beyond the two main parties.

Reform has emerged as a significant challenger in these elections, fielding candidates in 99.3 percent of available seats - more than any other party.

This marks a major step forward for Nigel Farage's party, surpassing even the Conservative coverage of 97.2 percent.

Reform has already won 15 council by-elections since the general election, taking seats from both major parties.

The former Conservative MP Andrea Jenkyns is the favourite to win the Greater Lincolnshire mayoralty for Reform.

The party is also hopeful of success in Hull and East Yorkshire.

The seats being contested were last up for election in 2021, when Boris Johnson enjoyed a "vaccine bounce" that delivered the Conservatives their best local results since 2008.

Now the political landscape appears dramatically different, with Reform challenging Labour in areas like Runcorn and the Conservatives in their traditional heartlands.

"It's a very interesting night," Jacob concluded on GB News.

The results, expected overnight for the by-election and some mayoralties with council results following on Friday, could signal a significant realignment in English politics.