The key statistic that suggests Britain is on course for more than a DECADE of Labour

Labour is expected to pick up 410 seats, while the Tories are on course for 131

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Millie Cooke

By Millie Cooke


Published: 05/07/2024

- 00:51

Updated: 05/07/2024

- 01:34

No party has ever had a majority of the size predicted in this evening's exit polls and been in power for less than 10 years

Labour is braced for a landslide election victory tonight - and it suggests the party is likely to be in power for more than a decade.

This evening's exit polls have put the party on course for a 170-seat majority.


No party has ever had a majority of this size and been in power for less than 10 years.

Labour is expected to pick up 410 seats, while the Tories are on course for 131.

Starmer

No party has ever had a majority of the size predicted in this evening's exit polls and been in power for less than 10 years

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The Liberal Democrats are expected to return 61 MPs, while the Greens are on course to return two.

Reform UK is expected to see a surge, picking up 13 seats. The SNP, however, is predicted to drop to just 10 MPs.

Blair's 1997 majority of 179 seats - just eight more than tonight's prediction - saw Labour in power for the next thirteen years.

Even with a majority of 144 seats, won by Thatcher in 1983 - her second election victory in a row - kept them in power for a further 14 years.

Responding to this evening's exit poll, a Tory party source said: "This is a projection, not a result, so it’s important we wait to see the actual results come in.

"But if these results are correct it is clear that Starmer and Angela Rayner will be in Downing Street tomorrow.

"That means your taxes will rise and our country will be less secure.

"It’s clear that based on this result we will have lost some very good and hardworking candidates.

"There is a long night ahead and we should wait to see the shape of the government that the people have chosen. We will know soon enough."

Starmer has repeatedly said Labour plans to oversee a "decade of national renewal".

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Addressing the Labour Party Conference in Liverpool, the Leader of the Opposition promised an "entirely new approach to politics".

He said Labour would be "totally focused on the interests of working people, five national missions all fixed on a single-minded purpose to govern for the long-term."

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