UK economy SHRINKS by 0.1% as Rachel Reeves blamed for sparking panic ahead of Budget

Joe Sledge

By Joe Sledge


Published: 12/12/2025

- 07:03

Updated: 12/12/2025

- 08:23

Growth in the economy remains central to Rachel Reeves's fiscal targets

The UK economy shrunk by 0.1 per cent in October, according to the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Monthly GDP is estimated to have fallen following a fall of 0.1 per cent in September and no growth in August.


During the month, the services sector fell by 0.3 per cent, while construction was down 0.6 per cent. However, production grew by 1.1 per cent.

The ONS found that growth on a rolling three-month basis, to October, was down 0.1 per cent.

Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves has targeted economic growth

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GETTY/ONS

A Treasury spokesperson said: “We are determined to defy the forecasts on growth and create good jobs, so everyone is better off, while also helping us invest in better public services.

“That is why the Chancellor is taking £150 off energy bills, protecting record investment in our infrastructure, and we are backing major planning reforms, the expansion of Heathrow and Gatwick airports, and the construction of Sizewell C.”

Many businesses have recently indicated that activity in the economy slowed in the lead up to the Budget, delivered on November 26, as speculation over possible tax measures grew.

ONS director of economic statistics Liz McKeown said: “Within production, there was continued weakness in car manufacturing, with the industry only making a slight recovery in October from the substantial fall in output seen in the previous month.”

Britain has now not experienced economic growth since June.

GDP measures the value of goods and services produced in the UK, estimating the size of the economy and its growth.

However, Rachel Reeves insisted at the start of the year “low growth is not our destiny, but that economic growth will not come without a fight".

“Britain is a country of huge potential," the Chancellor added.

Rachel ReevesMs Reeves said that low growth "isn't Britain's destiny" at the start of the year | GB NEWS

Shadow Chancellor Sir Mel Stride said: "This morning's news that the economy unexpectedly shrank in the three months to October is extremely concerning but it's as a direct result of Labour's economic mismanagement.

"Rachel Reeves promised growth but Labour has no plan for the economy - just their own survival, that's why Reeves presented a Benefits Budget that rewards welfare not work.

"For months, Rachel Reeves has misled the British public. She said she wouldn't raise taxes on working people - she broke that promise again.

"She insisted there was a black hole in the public finances - but there wasn't."

Economists polled by Reuters had predicted that October GDP would grow by 0.1 per cent.

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) previously said that a slowing in productivity, partly due to a drop in the number of workers coming to the UK, meant “momentum is softening” in the economy.

Professor Joe Nellis, economic adviser at MHA, said: "Looking beyond the immediate period, the figures reinforce the challenges heading into 2026.

"Sustained progress will depend on a clearer pick-up in investment, better productivity performance and a policy environment that encourages long-term decision-making.

"October’s decline in GDP acts as a reminder: the recovery is delicate, easily knocked off course, and still waiting for the catalyst that can turn stability into genuine momentum."

The development comes as the Bank of England considers cutting interest rates next week, following a slowdown in headline inflation and mounting concerns over weak growth and rising unemployment.

ONS

A breakdown of the figures

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ONS

Political journalist Theo Usherwood told GB News: "These are not good figures for Rachel Reeves.

"Keir Starmer was adamant that economic growth would get the country back on its feet.

The opposite has happened and we've ended up in a doom-loop where taxes will have to go up next Budget."

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