Reform UK have surged ahead of Scottish Labour in the latest Holyrood seat projections, a new poll has revealed.
The poll, conducted by YouGov, shows Reform have batted away any recent suggestions they have hit a ceiling, instead opening a five-point gap in second place.
Reform is now projected to win 23 seats, while Scottish Labour, which sits third, has just 15.
For Nigel Farage, his party now boasts a 20 per cent vote in both constituency and regional elections, despite winning just 0.2 per cent of the list vote in 2021.
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In response to the polls, Reform's recently-announced Scottish leader, Lord Malcolm Offord told GB News: "It is a very positive outlook for Reform, and it reflects exactly with what we're picking up on the doorsteps.
"People want Reform, and we are resonating with real people in working class communities all over Scotland."
It marks a dramatic fall off for the UK Government. Scottish Labour won big at the 2024 General Election with 35.3 per cent of the vote, totalling 851,897 people.
Now, just 32 per cent of Scottish voters who opted for Labour in 2024 intend on doing the same come May.
Reform UK have surged ahead of Scottish Labour in the latest Holyrood seat projections, a new poll has revealed
|PA
It would also mark the worst performance for Scottish Labour in either Westminster or Holyrood elections in 116 years.
George Buchan, of GB Insight, told GB News: "The unionist vote appears to be fragmenting like never before.
"Reform's drawing 27 per cent of 2024 Tory voters and 14 per cent of Labour ones, whilst Conservatives cling to just 48 per cent of their base.
"It's even across No (24 per cent) and Yes (16 per cent) voters, but Leave voters back Reform strongly at 42 per cent.
"Labour's down to 15 per cent from 30 per cent highs, basically their worst in over a century, showing Scots aren't buying the old pro-UK bloc anymore."
Though they remain less unpopular (57 per cent disapproval rate) than the UK Government (75 per cent), the Scottish National Party (SNP) remain clear at the top with 60 projected seats.
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Scottish Labour has slumped further in the polls, and are on track for their worst performance in either Westminster or Holyrood elections in 116 years
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But even though the projections appear positive for the SNP, the underlying numbers still tell a worrying sign.
They are now on 34 per cent of the constituency vote, down 14 points since the 2021 election, and are on 29 per cent of the list vote, down 11 points.
This would represent their lowest share of the regional vote since 2003, before they were in power.
"People are fed up with the records in charge," Mr Buchan added. "57 per cent disapprove of Holyrood's SNP, and 75 per cent disapprove of Westminster Labour (just 10 per cent approve).
"Economy and health are top worries for everyone, SNP voters included. Reform's riding that wave as SNP slips to 29 per cent in the list, their lowest since before power.
"All this sets up a volatile election, with no majority likely and coalitions on the cards. Tactical voting could hurt Reform in tight seats, with 57 per cent of Labour voters saying they'd back SNP over them head-to-head.
"SNP might scrape pro-independence seats but fall short of their referendum dream, forcing everyone to ditch constitutional rows and fix real problems like the NHS and cost of living."
John Sinney currently has a net favourability rating of minus 17, while Anas Sarwar is on minus 34. Sir Keir Starmer’s, for contrast, sits on minus 57.
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