Donald Trump may have been handed a major boost in the lead up to the US presidential election with a demographic potentially set for a dramatic shift in voting behaviour, according to a top pollster.
James Johnson from JL Partners joined Jacob Rees-Mogg to look ahead to this year’s vote which he believes could see Hispanics, a demographic that has traditionally backed the Democrats, start to turn to the Republicans.
He told GBN America that the border crisis is the ‘number one issue’ for voters and Hispanics are among those concerned.
“In the opinion polls, the border is the number one issue in the US”, he said.
Donalsd Trump may have been handed a boost
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“There’s a lot of frustration, people are turning around and saying ‘this is an issue of fairness. I work hard. I do what I was meant to do. I pay into the system but I seem to be looked over for people to be put into hotels and given a free pass into the US’.
“That really angers people and a lot of that anger is focused at Joe Biden. People know he loosened the rules at the beginning of his administration for executive orders.
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“People know that he stopped building the wall that Trump started. People really are frustrated and they see it as weakness and him trying to please Democrats rather than do what is best for the country.
“A really important shift is that it is among Hispanic people too.
“Second generation, third generation, even some first generation immigrants who have been here for years believe they did things the right way.
“A Hispanic woman I was speaking to in Arizona a couple of weeks ago said they didn’t care about the border in 2016 and 2020, but now they see the damage the open border policy is happening.
Joe Biden is currently trailing in the pollsBiden
James Johnson joined Jacob Rees-Mogg on GBN America
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“They told me they will vote for Donald Trump over Biden.”
The border crisis is a key issue at this year’s election with Donald Trump pointing the finger at Joe Biden as unprecedented levels of migrants enter the country illegally.
Biden argues that the migrant crisis comes down to pent up demand built up during the Covid pandemic and has also taken aim at the Republicans, accusing them of blocking bills designed to remedy the issue.
Despite Biden facing an uphill task to win favourability from Americans who are deeply concerned with the migrant crisis, the Democrats may have a ‘wildcard’ at the election, Johnson told GBN America.
“I think abortion and women’s rights issues are the big wildcard at this election”, he said.
“People were saying a while back that perhaps the Trump court cases are what changes this election of Trump is convicted.
“But a recent poll that we ran found 93 per cent of Trump voters will vote for Trump if he is found guilty, only two per cent said very unlikely, so I don’t think that’s going to be a game changer.
“What we do see though is the amount of money the Biden campaign is amassing to do a big spend on abortion, on TV, on print and social media, nearer the election.
“They will be really aiming those issues at suburban women, white women and people who are concerned about the border and inflation, but can be won round on abortion.
“We’ve seen abortion get onto the ballot in November in Florida and Arizona, we might see it on the ballot in Nevada as well. Democrats will be hoping that helps their turnout.
“If I was advising the Republicans right now, I would be saying that’s your biggest danger. The Democrats have proven to be very good at mobilising that and wait until they dump all of those adverts.”