Six key states will determine the victor of this year’s US election, a top pollster has claimed.
Donald Trump and Joe Biden are embroiled in a bitter war of words ahead of their showdown which has the US electorate increasingly polarised.
Speaking on GBN America, pollster James Johnson says all eyes are on six states. He believes most areas will have predictable outcomes, something to be expected given the rife divisions across the American political sphere.
“The US electorate is so polarised that no one is going to win big”, he said.
James Johnson says Biden faces an uphill task in securing a second term
GBN AMERICA
“As much as Trump might like New York to be in play or Biden might like Florida to be in play, we’re talking about those six key swing states.
“Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, that’s where it’s going to come down to and at the moment, it’s really tight.”
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Donald Trump goes into the election with favourable polling after romping to victory in primaries and caucuses across the nation to secure the Republican nomination.
Johnson put a figure on Trump’s chances of securing the keys to the White House once more, but erred caution with there still being a considerable amount of time between now and the vote.
“If you had to put a number on it, there’s a 60 per cent probability Trump will win”, he said.
“I think Trump has the advantage, but it’s 60 per cent, not 70 or 80. A lot can happen between now and November.
Donald Trump has the polls in his favour for now
Reuters
Joe Biden is currently trailing in the polls
Biden“A really key question we’re tracking is, 'what are people’s main memories of the Trump administration?' It’s basically two incumbents running. One former president and one current president.
“The top answer right now is a better economy. If that shifts away from Trump and it becomes more negative memories, then we may see the numbers shift.
“But at the moment, it’s Trump’s to lose.”
Trump faces one major headache in the lead up to the election, that being the litany of legal cases he is battling.
The former president this week suffered a blow in his effort to dismiss three of the criminal cases against him.
A federal judge in Florida on Tuesday denied a request by the 77-year-old to dismiss the 40 charges he faces over the classified documents found at his Mar-a-Lago estate.
Trump’s team argued he had ‘discretion’ while in the White House to designate hundreds of pages of military intelligence records as personal files.