UK weather: Meteorologist warns of 'strong signals' from forecast models that spell bad news for June

After recent months saw records-broken for the sunniest spring on record, June is set to provide a more windy and overcast outlook.

Meteorologists have admitted that while June looks set to begin with some balmy temperatures, the UK is set to also see a fair amount of rain and wind.

Giving an overview of what Britons can expect in June, Ian Simpson from NetWeather said: "Confidence is of course relatively low once you get more than seven days out, but there is quite a strong signal among the medium to long range forecast models that the weather will continue changeable, albeit quite warm at times, with mainly westerly and south-westerly winds through to around June 10.

"The weather pattern that we’ll be getting isn’t normally associated with particularly warm weather, but sea surface temperatures are well above the long-term average in most parts of the North Atlantic, especially to the south-west of Britain, and this will result in these westerly types being warmer than we would normally expect.

"But most people are really asking about when the dry sunny weather will return, and for the next 10 days it often won’t be particularly dry or sunny."

The Met Office offers a similar verdict on the weather for the coming weeks.

In its long range forecast for June 6 to 15, the national weather service said that models showed "all areas seeing showers or longer spells of rain at times as Atlantic systems move across the country".

"Early in this period, wet weather is likely to be more focused across southern parts before the focus of wetter weather returns to the northwest," it added.

"Towards the middle of June, there is an increased chance that high pressure will become more dominant, at least in the south.

"This would result in some longer periods of drier weather, however, unsettled spells remain likely.

"Following a rather cool start to this period, there is a greater chance of warmer spells towards mid-June."

It is not until towards the end of the month that the Met Office predicts the good weather of recent weeks may return.

Giving its early outlook for June 15 to June 29, it said: "Changeable weather is most likely across the UK with a mixture of Atlantic weather systems moving in from the west interspersed with dry and sunny periods perhaps with a bias towards longer dry spells early in the period.

"Temperatures are most likely to be near or slightly above normal, perhaps with some hot spells at times especially across the south."

Beyond the next month there is still plenty of reason for Britons to be hopeful of a hot summer.

In July and August the Met Office says the UK is likely to experience a hotter-than-normal summer with an increased chance for heatwaves.

The weather service says that over the course of the three months as a whole, June 1 to August 31 is twice as likely to be hotter than average.

That stands in contrast to 2024 which saw cooler than average temperatures.