REVEALED: Labour and Tory grandees poised to lose their seat to Reform in wipeout after local election upset

Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride and former Shadow Minister for Defence Stuart Anderson would have lost their seats to the Liberal Democrats, with the Greens also making gains in Labour seats of Worcester and Lancaster.

First published in The Telegraph, Electoral Calculus has analysed the Local Election results and applied them to a General Election scenario.

In summary, Reform UK would have won 81 of the 145 seats up for grabs. Labour would be reduced from 78 seats to just 3, with several of its most prominent figures losing their seats altogether.

The Liberal Democrats would come in second place with 31 seats, ahead of the Conservatives on 25.

This comes as Reform UK continues to enjoy a 10 point lead with pollsters.

Commenting on Reform’s gains, Nigel Farage MP said: "The local election results show us that two-party politics is dead and no seat is safe. Reform can win the next general election."

Rosie Duffield

The former Labour MP, who first won her seat under Jeremy Corbyn's leadership at the 2017 General Election, would lose her Canterbury seat.

Canterbury flipped to Labour in 2017 for the first time since its inception in 1918, with Duffield taking it on a majority of 187.

Duffield, who previously said that being a member of the Labour Party is like being in an "abusive relationship", resigned the whip following a spat about transgender issues.

The current poll would have her losing her seat to Reform on 26 per cent with Labour on 25 per cent.

Mike Tapp

Tipped as a potential future star of the Labour Party, the MP for Dover & Deal won his seat at last year's General Election, seeing off competition from Reform candidate and FairFuelUK founder Howard Cox with a majority of 7,559.

Tapp, a former Intelligence Corps officer, worked with the National Crime Agency before entering politics.

However, the new data suggests Reform would take 44 per cent and Labour would collapse to just 20 per cent.

Sir Gavin Williamson

The MP for Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge in Staffordshire is not shy to national headlines.

Sir Gavin Williamson has bounced about various Cabinet positions within various previous Conservative Governments, having served as Chief Whip and Defence Secretary under Theresa May, as well as Education Secretary under Boris Johnson.

Williamson held onto the newly created constituency, having served as the MP for South Staffordshire since 2010.

According to the new data, Reform is now pulling ahead on 41 per cent, leaving Williamson facing down a huge deficit on just 28 per cent.

Ed Miliband

Upon entering Cabinet shortly after last year's General Election, the former Labour leader was asked what his plans for Government was GB News's own political editor, Christopher Hope.

Turning around, the newly appointed Secretary of State for Energy Security & Net Zero said: "GB News viewers will love it." Miliband has held onto his Doncaster North seat in every election since 2005 and served as Leader of the Opposition from 2010 to 2015.

However, Reform UK surged to an overall majority in Doncaster following the Local Elections, with Guy Aston, who was voted in as a councillor for Wheatley Hills and Intake on May 2, chosen as the group's leader earlier this week.

Reform is now almost 20-points ahead of Labour in Miliband's once-safe seat - with 46 per cent backing the populist party and and just 29 per cent sticking with Starmer.

Full list of MPs who would have lost their seat to Reform UK at a general election:

• Ed Miliband, Doncaster North. Reform 46, Labour 29, Cons 9
• Mike Tapp, Dover and Deal. Reform 44, Labour 20, Cons 18
• Rosie Duffield, Canterbury. Reform 26, Labour 25, Cons 13
• Hamish Falconer, Lincoln. Reform 31, Labour 28, Con 17
• Grahame Morris, Easington. Reform 50, Labour 27, Cons 3
• Jonathan Hinder, Pendle and Clitheroe. Reform 30, Con 23, Labour 9
• Victoria Atkins, Louth and Horncastle. Reform 46, Cons 24, Labour 11
• Gavin Williamson, Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge. Reform 41, Cons 28, Labour 11
• Steve Barclay, Cambridge North. Reform 40, Cons 37, Labour 9
• Helen Whately, Faversham and Mid Kent. Reform 37, Cons 19, Labour 8
• Katie Lam, Weald of Kent. Reform 38, Cons 29, Labour 8
• Sir Edward Leigh, Gainsborough. Reform 37, Cons 26, Labour 9
• Lindsay Hoyle, Chorley. Reform 37, Labour 33, Cons 16

Other notable mentions:

• Mel Stride, Devon Central. Lib Dem 31, Reform 27, Cons 21, Labour 11
• Cat Smith, Lancaster and Wyre. Green 31, Reform 29, Lab 18, Cons 17