Charlie Rowley has warned of an "almighty fall" for the Labour Party as new polling suggests Reform UK could become Britain's largest political party.
The comprehensive poll, based on 11,500 respondents, projects Reform UK would win 271 seats if an election were held today, while Labour would plummet to just 178 seats - less than half their current 411.
The Conservatives would fall to fourth place with just 46 MPs, behind the Liberal Democrats, who would gain nine seats for a total of 81.
Speaking about the new polling, political commentator Rowley said: "It would be an extraordinary and almighty fall for the Labour Party to lose that many seats, and an almighty win for Reform to gain as many. They’ve only got five in the Commons at the minute, so to go up to 271.
Charlie Rowley said it will be an "almighty fall" for the Labour Party
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"Now, the problem this poll presents is that not only is it great news for Reform, but they’re just short of that magic majority figure, 325.
"Back in 2017, Theresa May had 317 MPs, and that wasn’t a majority. She had to do a deal with the DUP just to shore up support during the Brexit years.
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"What could happen, and what a lot of people have been talking about, is that even though the Tories are fourth in this poll, even if Reform UK did a deal with them, it still wouldn’t be enough to get over that 325 threshold.
"However, they could be supportive. It’s a difficult situation because if Reform UK did win that many seats and it was a hung Parliament, we’d be in brand new territory. We don’t know how Reform would manage in a minority Government."
"But history comes into play here. In 1924 or 1925, Labour formed a Government for the first time.
"I think it was a minority Government, and then they had another general election not too long after and won a majority. That was also the collapse of the Liberals."
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He added: "It’ll be fascinating to see, in the weeks and months to come, just how Labour treats Reform, and how the Tories treat Reform.
"They’re all trying to create distance and division to maximise their appeal, but at some point, someone’s going to have to look at the numbers and think: ‘Look, nobody necessarily wants to see a terrible Labour Government. So how do we stop that?’
"Because what might happen is, when push comes to shove, the vote is split in certain constituencies between Reform and the Conservatives. And that could let Labour through with more seats than this poll is predicting.
"It’s very volatile politics right now. Very unpredictable. But a fascinating poll, nonetheless, which again puts Reform ahead."
The poll predicted Labour would plummet to just 178 seats
POOLReform's meteoric rise stems from strong performances across Leave-voting constituencies, with 256 of their 266 projected gains coming from areas that backed Brexit in 2016.
The party would become the largest force in seven regions, including the East Midlands, North East and Wales.
Labour faces catastrophic losses, surrendering 194 seats directly to Reform UK.
Seven cabinet ministers would lose their constituencies, including Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner in Ashton-under-Lyne and Home Secretary Yvette Cooper in Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley.
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