Former prime minister Boris Johnson and Chancellor Jeremy Hunt could both lose their seats at the next general election a polling expert has warned.
John Curtice joined Esther McVey and Philip Davies to share his analysis of the current political landscape, asked about Boris Johnson’s security in the Conservative party he said: “Better than some of those currently sitting in Cabinet, or indeed of at least one other previous leader of the party.
John Curtice joined Esther McVey and Philip Davies
GB News
“I mean, Iain Duncan Smith, for example, is sitting on a 3% majority. He looks extremely vulnerable.
"Boris Johnson, with his 15% majority, looks at least to have a fighting chance. If, but if, and only if the Conservatives at least make some recovery in the polls not necessarily back to the level where they would still be in office, but at least back to the level where they would not be suffering what would be, at the moment, fairly little less than a decimation, given that the party is more than 20 points behind in the polls.
“So I think as far as Boris Johnson as an individual is concerned, of course, the fascinating thing is that as an ex prime minister who in the end was forced to resign because he lost the confidence of his MPs and his government effectively collapsed.
“He thinks that it is worth his while personally trying to remain inside the House of Commons, and indeed, to do so within the constituency he is currently at.
“I think there was a lot of speculation. A. would he think it was worth carrying on?
Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt could both lose their seats at the next general election
PA
"But two, if he was going to do so, that maybe he'd like to fancy trying to find for a safer seat, but evidently need of those paths are ones he's going to go down.
“But, I mean, there is no doubt he's vulnerable. He's also, by the way, equally vulnerable is Jeremy Hunt, the Chancellor in southwest Surrey.
“He's sitting on a very similar majority of around 15%. So he might survive if things improve. But at the moment, life doesn't look too comfortable for him either.”
Last week Boris Johnson announced that he will stand again as an MP at the next general election.
Mr Johnson will run for re-election in Uxbridge and South Ruislip at the next poll, expected to be held in 2024.
He has been an MP in the west London constituency since 2015, winning it with a majority of 5,034 in 2017 and 7,210 in 2019, by which time he was prime minister.
