Starmer is gone. There’s no way he can survive having admitted to Parliament that he knew Mandelson had an ongoing relationship with Epstein and still appointed him to the massively important post of Our Man in Washington.
The reality is he will limp on to the next disaster, which is coming up in 22 days- the Gorton and Denton by-election.
My bet is that Labour’s majority of 13,413 will disappear in a puff of smoke. The Greens will win with traditional Labour voters showing their distaste at the scandals surrounding the party’s hierarchy, and join the Muslims (they represent 30 per cent of the constituents) to give a V-sign to Starmer.
So even if Starmer decides to hang on after the by-election humiliation, his final denouement will come in three months' time with the May 6 elections deciding who runs Wales, Scotland and many English councils.
Labour will come nowhere. Thrown out of Wales, humiliated in Scotland, and picking up the wooden spoon in England. There is no way he won’t face a challenge after that lot.
Last night I was on Jacob Rees-Mogg’s show on GB News. A good reader of the runes is young Jacob.
This is how he sees the runners and riders. It won’t be Angela Rayner as she’s already in a £40,000 tax scandal (yet to discover what her HMRC fine will be) and backbenchers want a clean body to represent them. So, she’s out.
I’m sure you noticed that Rayner, still smarting at her sense that Starmer didn’t fight for her as the taxman cameth, that she got her own back by insisting that it wasn’t the Cabinet Secretary who would decide what would be disclosed in the Mandelson affair but a Parliamentary select committee.
Keir Starmer is finished, but look who's waiting in the wings - Kelvin MacKenzie | Getty Images
That shot Starmer’s fox. He won’t be able to control how much information the public learn about what he knew and what he did about it. A killer strike. Rayner’s revenge.
The favourite for some time to replace Starmer has been Health Secretary Wes Streeting. Unfortunately for him, he has been at the Mandelson School of Dark Arts. Very much an apprentice, learning at the feet of Mandelson.
That relationship will spell the end of his ambitions. Tainted, he will have to stand aside, probably for Home Secretary Mahmood. But my sense is that a Muslim at No.10 is unlikely.
Jacob believes that only leaves Ed Miliband, a favourite of the soft left. I’m not so sure. His net zero zeal has left us with electricity four times higher than that of the United States. How will that work on the doorstep?
And in any event, he has been leader once before, and that was a disaster. Even Starmer tried to push him out of Energy and give him Housing, but Miliband resisted, basically indicating he would rather go to the backbenches and cause him trouble than take Housing.
No matter which way Starmer looks, he’s done for. His leadership has been a disaster for the party and for the country.
Only ever at home when out of the country, I suspect he’s focusing on all this Brexit reset rubbish as he knows his days are numbered and will be looking for work in the early autumn.
Nobody in the UK would touch him with a bargepole, so he’s starting to grease up to Brussels.
It won’t work. Even the EU knows a dud when they see one.
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