Reform UK has been handed another polling win as new data has predicted the populist party could steal 223 seats from Labour at the next General Election.
According to new polling by More in Common, the party is projected to win 290 seats, more than twice as many as any other party.
Labour would fall to second on 126 seats, losing 285 seats it won at the last election, while the Tories would slump to third, holding only eight seats more than the Liberal Democrats.
Reform would hold 28 per cent of the vote, with most of the parties' gains coming from Labour seats.
The polling would see large red Labour areas turn turquoise
MoreinCommon
The polling says Reform will take 28 per cent of the vote
MoreinCommon
In April, the pollsters predicted that Reform, Labour, and the Conservatives would vie for the largest party, each with between 165 and 180 seats.
Today, however, Reform has emerged as a clear frontrunner, gaining seats with an average margin of nine per cent.
The projection would result in a hung parliament, meaning Reform would need an additional 36 seats to secure a majority.
The poll predicts the vote share of the main parties to be historically low, but notes Reform will need to expand their vote share by persuading new voters or distributing their vote more efficiently by finding votes in unlikely places.
LATEST DEVELOPMENTS:
The polling would see Nigel Farage enter No10
PAMost of the losses suffered by Labour to Reform would occur in the North of England and Wales.
You could walk from Workington to Hartlepool and then all the way down the East of England to Clacton without leaving a Reform seat.
More in Common's UK Director Luke Tryl said: "It is an unhappy Birthday for the Prime Minister, his personal approval has hit an all-time low, while Britons blame him rather than his Chancellor for the welfare mess and think he has lost control of his party.
"Meanwhile, our new [poll] shows Reform UK as the big winners from the Government's failures. Although we are a long way from an election and much will change between, Nigel Farage's Party are demonstrating that they are now close to the level where they could command an outright majority.
"Britain's political landscape has transformed entirely from just a year ago."
The exact seats Reform could win off Labour MAPPED
More in Common
All 223 Labour seats that could be directly stolen by Reform
- Aberafan Maesteg
- Aldershot
- Alyn and Deeside
- Amber Valley
- Ashford
- Ashton-under-Lyne
- Bangor Aberconwy
- Barking
- Barnsley North
- Barnsley South
- Barrow and Furness
- Basingstoke
- Bassetlaw
- Birmingham Erdington
- Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North
- Birmingham Northfield
- Birmingham Yardley
- Bishop Auckland
- Blackley and Middleton South
- Blackpool North and Fleetwood
- Blackpool South
- Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney
- Blaydon and Consett
- Blyth and Ashington
- Bolsover
- Bolton North East
- Bolton South and Walkden
- Bolton West
- Bournemouth East
- Bournemouth West
- Bracknell
- Bradford East
- Bradford South
- Bridgend
- Burnley
- Burton and Uttoxeter
- Bury North
- Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket
- Caerphilly
- Calder Valley
- Camborne and Redruth
- Cannock Chase
- Carlisle
- Chatham and Aylesford
- Chesterfield
- City of Durham
- Clwyd East
- Clwyd North
- Colchester
- Colne Valley
- Corby and East Northamptonshire
- Coventry East
- Coventry North West
- Cramlington and Killingworth
- CrawleyCrewe and Nantwich
- Dagenham and Rainham
- Darlington
- Dartford
- Derby South
- Doncaster Central
- Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme
- Doncaster North
- Dover and Deal
- Dudley
- Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard
- Easington
- East Thanet
- Erewash
- Folkestone and Hythe
- Forest of Dean
- Gateshead Central and Whickham
- Gillingham and Rainham
- Gloucester
- Gower
- Gravesham
- Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes
- Halesowen
- Halifax
- Harlow
- Hartlepool
- Hastings and Rye
- Heywood and Middleton North
- Houghton and Sunderland South
- Hyndburn
- Ipswich
- Isle of Wight West
- Jarrow and Gateshead East
- Kettering
- Kingston upon Hull East
- Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham
- Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice
- Lancaster and Wyre
- Leeds Central and Headingley
- Leeds East
- Leeds South
- Leeds South West and Morley
- Leeds West and Pudsey
- Leicester West
- Leigh and Atherton
- Lichfield
- Lincoln
- Llanelli
- Lowestoft
- Luton North
- Luton South and South Bedfordshire
- Makerfield
- Mansfield
- Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare
- Mid and South Pembrokeshire
- Mid Cheshire
- Mid Derbyshire
- Middlesbrough and Thornaby East
- Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland
- Milton Keynes Central
- Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr
- Morecambe and Lunesdale
- Neath and Swansea East
- Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West
- Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend
- Newcastle-under-Lyme
- Newport East
- Newport West and Islwyn
- Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor
- Normanton and Hemsworth
- North Durham
- North East Derbyshire
- North Warwickshire and Bedworth
- North West Cambridgeshire
- North West Leicestershire
- Northampton North
- Northampton South
- Norwich North
- Nottingham North and Kimberley
- Nottingham South
- Nuneaton
- Oldham East and Saddleworth
- Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton
- Ossett and Denby Dale
- Pendle and Clitheroe
- Penistone and Stocksbridge
- Penrith and Solway
- Peterborough
- Plymouth Moor View
- Plymouth Sutton and Devonport
- Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley
- Pontypridd
- Poole
- Portsmouth North
- Portsmouth South
- Preston
- Rawmarsh and Conisbrough
- Redcar
- Redditch
- Rhondda and Ogmore
- Ribble Valley
- Rochdale
- Rochester and Strood
- Rossendale and Darwen
- Rother Valley
- Rotherham
- Rugby
- Runcorn and Helsby
- Salford
- Scarborough and Whitby
- Scunthorpe
- Selby
- Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough
- Sheffield South East
- Sherwood Forest
- Shrewsbury
- Sittingbourne and Sheppey
- Smethwick
- South Derbyshire
- South Dorset
- South East Cornwall
- South Ribble
- South Shields
- South West Norfolk
- Southampton Itchen
- Southampton Test
- Southend East and Rochford
- Southend West and Leigh
- Southport
- Spen Valley
- St Austell and Newquay
- St Helens North
- St Helens South and Whiston
- Stafford
- Stalybridge and Hyde
- Stevenage
- Stockton North
- Stoke-on-Trent Central
- Stoke-on-Trent North
- Stoke-on-Trent South
- Stourbridge
- Suffolk Coastal
- Sunderland Central
- Swansea West
- Swindon North
- Swindon South
- Tamworth
- Telford
- Thurrock
- Tipton and Wednesbury
- Torfaen
- Uxbridge and South Ruislip
- Vale of Glamorgan
- Wakefield and Rothwell
- Walsall and Bloxwich
- Warrington North
- Washington and Gateshead South
- Wellingborough and Rushden
- West Bromwich
- Weston-super-Mare
- Whitehaven and Workington
- Wigan
- Wolverhampton North East
- Wolverhampton South East
- Wolverhampton West
- Worcester
- Worsley and Eccles
- Wrexham
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